2025 Commodity Market Review: Platinum, Cattle Lead Gains While Grains Struggle Trade resumed this week following the Labor Day holiday, and with eight months of 2025 now complete, the Bottom Line Report delivers its latest update on how the markets have performed so far this year. “It’s Bottom Line. Trade resumes after the Labor Day holiday, and now with eight …
Fed Rate Cut Expected
Fed Rate Cut Likely in September, CME FedWatch Shows 85–87% Probability As the Federal Reserve’s September meeting approaches, market expectations for an interest rate cut have surged. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is now an 85 to 87 percent chance that the Federal Reserve Board will cut interest rates at the conclusion of the meeting. This represents a …
December Corn Stalled October Cattle High
December Corn Tests Resistance as Cattle Markets Hit All-Time Highs The grain and livestock markets are showing diverging trends as December corn flirts with technical resistance, while October live cattle and feeder cattle post record highs. “December corn stalled just short of that 50-day moving average. We do still see that pre-harvest low near 390 holding through the harvest.” As …
National Pork Producers Share Optimism in US EU Trade Framework
National Pork Producers Council Optimistic About US-EU Trade Agreement Framework The National Pork Producers Council (NPPC) has expressed optimism regarding the recently released trade agreement framework between the United States and the European Union. The framework includes targeted efforts to address longstanding trade imbalances that have impacted the pork industry for decades. National Pork Producers Council President Duane Stateler shared …
NCGA Says Corn is Unprofitable at Current Price Levels
Corn Prices Fall 50% Since 2022 While Production Costs Stay High, Says NCGA Corn farmers are facing serious financial strain as corn prices have dropped dramatically since their 2022 peak, while production costs have barely budged. The National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) has issued a new report highlighting the widening gap between revenues and costs in 2025, raising concerns about …
USDA Opens Sign-up for Supplemental Disaster Relief Program
Farmers impacted by natural disasters in 2023 and 2024 now have access to much-needed financial support. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has opened the first phase of sign-up for its Supplemental Disaster Relief Program (SDRP), aimed at helping producers recover from major crop losses. “We know farm operations across the United States were impacted by devastating natural disasters in …
Consumers Shrug Off High Beef Prices
Despite Record-High Prices, U.S. Beef Demand Remains Strong In a surprising shift from typical market behavior, U.S. beef demand is defying economic expectations. While record-high retail prices for most products often lead to a significant drop in demand, beef continues to sell at strong levels, even as prices climb. “When retail prices for any product reach record-high levels, the demand …
USMEF Releases Statement on US EU Trade Framework Update
White House Releases US-EU Trade Framework Update with Focus on Agriculture and Market Access The White House has released an updated version of the U.S.–EU Trade Framework, which includes key commitments to improving agricultural trade. These changes are seen as a step forward for U.S. pork, bison, and beef exporters, as the European Union (EU) agrees to reduce non-tariff trade …
USDA Announces Changes to Crop Insurance Programs For Beginning Farmers
USDA Expands Crop Insurance Support for Beginning Farmers Through One Big Beautiful Bill The USDA has announced major changes to crop insurance programs for beginning farmers, made possible through the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill. These updates are designed to offer stronger financial support during the critical early years of farm operations. USDA Risk Management Agency Administrator Pat …
Cattle on Feed Report
U.S. Cattle on Feed Inventory Expected to Hit Lowest Levels Since 2017 Pre-release estimates suggest a significant drop in U.S. cattle on feed inventories, potentially reaching the lowest level since 2017. According to analysts, the average estimate shows total cattle on feed down 2% from the same time last year. This expected decline continues a seasonal trend typically seen during …