Grain trade

A Look at the Recent Grain Trade

The grain trade looks to have found some support levels that look to hold longer term. Looking at the grain trade today, December corn holding the 5.15 level or better into next week. November soybeans 12.75 or better. And looking at the wheat trade in Chicago, December 7.18 or better. Elsewhere, that VIX or fear index on Wall Street, back …

Joseph Dart grain elevator

Joseph Dart and the Birth of the Grain Elevator

How Buffalo Helped Transform the Grain Trade The movement of grain from farms to markets has always depended on transportation and efficient handling systems. In the early 1840s, a major innovation emerged in Buffalo, New York, that would dramatically change the way grain was moved, stored and loaded onto ships. The story of the modern grain elevator can be traced …

CME FedWatch

CME FedWatch Updates

Last Wednesday, CME’s FedWatch tool showed a 60% chance of a quarter-point rate hike by the Fed this week. Since then, an almost uninterrupted rise in energy prices and lower trends on Wall Street has that percentage now at 88% chance of a quarter-point hike today, an analyst suggesting another quarter-point hike by December. In the grain trade, rain chances …

trade

New Trade Opportunities

Australia and New Zealand are major livestock producing countries, and USDA says that could create additional opportunities for American feed products. Luke Lindberg, USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs, recently traveled to both countries as part of a U.S. agricultural trade mission. While Australia and New Zealand are already mature markets, Lindberg says USDA still sees opportunities to …

corn

Corn, Wheat, and Soybean Futures

Late week highs in corn, soybean, and wheat futures could be new targets going into the September crop report from USDA a week from today. Watching December corn at the 550 level, November soybeans 1324-1325. Most analysts expect USDA to come below the pro-farmer corn number and at or maybe a little below their soybean number. Several producers that I’ve …

Grain trade

Updates on Grain Trades

Well, you might say the grain trade is taking yesterday’s production numbers with a grain of salt. Already looking forward to this September report on the 11th. Yesterday’s report was based on farmer surveys. Surveys that were returned anyway, and satellite data. Now, in the coming weeks, private crop scouts and USDA teams will be heading to the fields and …

commodity

Commodity Report

Reviewing our list of 48 commodities that we track each day here at the Bottomline Report, grains and livestock switched positions as the month of July came to a close. During the month, the only grain ending in the red, as a matter of fact, was oats, down nearly 4%. Extended hot, dry weather helping soybeans gain 5% for the …

heat

Temperatures to Rise Soon

Grain traders have shown reluctance to build additional weather premium into futures at this point, but temperatures returning to 100 degrees or more this weekend and into next week can certainly change that. Bottom line analysts say December corn needs consecutive closing over $4.76 to keep the upward momentum in place. August is soybean month, but another forecaster is holding …

weather

Weather Affecting Industries

World events certainly affect grain, and livestock markets all year long, but as we move deeper into July, weather takes more of a spotlight for both. Markets back open today after the holiday. We hope it was a great weekend for family and friends. We mentioned in a report last week that December corn historically reaches a top 10 to …

dollar

Increase in Dollar Index

Outside of ag commodities at midweek, the dollar index posting its highest level in 13 months, two-year treasuries trading at 16-month highs, while crude oil continues lower, now the lowest since early in February. Grain trade not the only sector battling support in here at midweek. Bottom line analysts point to the tech sector under pressure early week with those …