USDA Releases September 2025 Wheat Outlook with Updated Production and Yield Estimates
The USDA has released its September 2025 Wheat Outlook, providing updated estimates on wheat acreage, yield, and production. Anthony Prillaman of the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) shared the latest data for both Durham wheat and other spring wheat.
“Durham wheat planted acreage at nearly 2.19 million acres was lower just a thousand acres compared to our previous estimate but is 5.9% more than what was planted in 2024. Harvested area is estimated at 2.12 million acres, that is down seven-tenths of a percent or 16,000 acres from the previous forecast but 4.3% higher than last season.”
These adjustments show Durham wheat acreage remains solid year-over-year, despite minor downgrades from the previous forecast.
“Now, the average yield for 2025 is estimated at 40.6 bushels per acre, that is down seven-tenths of a percent or just three-tenths of a bushel from the previous forecast but up 3.3% or 1.3 bushels from the previous year and then production for 2025 is estimated at 86.2 million bushels, that is down 1.4% from the previous forecast but 7.7% more than what produced last season.”
Overall, Durham wheat production is higher than in 2024, pointing to a more productive crop despite slight month-to-month downward revisions.
Turning to other spring wheat, acreage and yield saw more noticeable shifts.
“Other spring wheat planted acreage at 9.99 million acres is unchanged from the August estimate but is down 7.4% compared to 2024. Harvested area is estimated at 9.61 million acres, that is down eight-tenths of a percent or 80,000 acres from the previous forecast and down 7.5% from last season.”
“Now, the average yield for 2025 is estimated at 51.7 bushels per acre, that is up 3.4% or 1.7 bushels from our previous forecast.”
The higher yield estimate for spring wheat offsets some acreage declines, giving producers cautious optimism moving into the fall.
The USDA’s September wheat report highlights modest adjustments but reveals continued improvement in year-over-year production trends, especially for Durham wheat.
Audio Reporting by Dale Sandlin for Southeast AgNet.