USDA Updates 2025 Soybean and Sorghum Production Forecasts
The USDA Ag Statistics Service (NASS) has released updated forecasts for soybeans and sorghum as they continue catching up on commodity data following the federal shutdown. These updates provide a clearer picture for farmers planning for the 2025 growing season.
Soybean Forecast: Record Yields, Lower Acres
Soybean production in 2025 is forecast at 4.25 billion bushels, reflecting a 1% decrease from the previous estimate and 3% below last year’s total. Despite the slight decline in total production, yields are expected to reach a record-high 53 bushels per acre, up 2.3 bushels from 2024.
However, harvested acreage is down significantly. USDA projects 80.3 million acres of soybeans will be harvested, a 7% decrease from last year. The reduction in acreage partially offsets higher yields but indicates that farmers are reallocating land to other crops in search of profitability.
Sorghum Gains Popularity in the Southeast
Sorghum production has seen a notable increase, particularly in the Southeast, where growers are exploring alternative crops to maintain farm income. USDA forecasts 423 million bushels of sorghum for 2025, up 7% from the previous estimate and 25% from last year.
Average yields for sorghum are projected at 61.3 bushels per acre, with harvested area increasing 2% from 2024. This growth reflects a strategic shift by farmers toward crops that can remain profitable despite market fluctuations and challenging input costs.
Market Implications and Planting Considerations
The combination of record soybean yields and rising sorghum production signals opportunities and challenges for U.S. farmers in 2025. While soybean acreage has contracted, high productivity helps maintain strong supply. At the same time, sorghum’s growth shows the adaptability of producers in the Southeast, responding to market signals and diversifying their cropping strategies.
As USDA continues releasing commodity forecasts, these insights will be key for farmers assessing planting decisions, potential revenue, and risk management for the upcoming season.
Audio Reporting by Tyron Spearman for Southeast AgNet.