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China Cuts Soybean Import Forecast

Dan Exports/Imports, Industry News Release, Soybeans, Trade

China this week lowered its forecast for the 2018-2019 import season for soybeans due to the trade conflict between the U.S. and China. Farmers are reducing their use of soybeans in animal feed in China as China has placed massive tariffs on U.S. soybeans.

importImports of soybeans in the crop year that starts on October first will be 83.65 million metric tons, down 10.2 million from last month’s estimate of 93.85 million, according to China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs. Overall, the forecast is lower than the 93.9 million metric tons imported during the 2017-2018 crop year. China also claims the lower forecast is due to the promotion of lower-protein feed for livestock and poultry, and falling profits at pig farms reducing demand for soybean meal.

China also raised its corn demand outlook on rising feed consumption and an expected increased ethanol production. Reuters reports that the outlook illustrates how China’s vast pig farming sector is rapidly adjusting to a possible prolonged trade dispute with Washington.

In July, China imposed an additional 25 percent tariff on U.S. soybeans.

Source: National Association of Farm Broadcasting News Service.